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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Tennessee St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:152.0
Current RPI:152
Expected SOS:286
Current Record:18-10
Expected Record:18-10
Current Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-2
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:171
Expected OOC SOS:323


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1064.29%152.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Loyola MD (255.0)PatA71-86W100%0.0
11-16Ohio (81.0)MACA75-67L0%0.0
11-21Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH66-69L0%0.0
11-28Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA49-56W100%0.0
12-5Stetson (303.0)ASunH74-54W100%0.0
12-12Grambling St. (350.0)SWACN64-52W100%0.0
12-14Stetson (303.0)ASunA90-93W100%0.0
12-17Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH89-86W100%0.0
12-19Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACN81-76W100%0.0
12-22Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA66-55L0%0.0
12-29Tennessee (143.0)SECA74-69L0%0.0
1-2Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA66-72W100%0.0
1-6Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA61-66W100%0.0
1-9SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH63-60W100%0.0
1-14Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH66-52W100%0.0
1-16Murray St. (169.0)OVCH73-71W100%0.0
1-24Belmont (98.0)OVCA103-95L0%0.0
1-28Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA81-79L0%0.0
1-30Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA53-78W100%0.0
2-4Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH81-97L0%0.0
2-6Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH77-76W100%0.0
2-10Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH85-55W100%0.0
2-13Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA78-79W100%0.0
2-18Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA66-61L0%0.0
2-20Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH61-46W100%0.0
2-25Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA72-56L0%0.0
2-28Belmont (98.0)OVCH87-72W100%0.0
3-3Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH72-74L0%0.0